Arthur Van Camp

A Study of Jeffrey’s Rule With Imprecise Probability Models

Enrique Miranda and Arthur Van Camp

Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, Volume 215 (ISIPTA 2023), pp. 344 – 355, July 2023.

Abstract

Jeffrey’s rule tells us how to update our beliefs about a probability measure when we have updated information conditional on some partition of the possibility space, while keeping the original marginal information on this partition. It is linked to the law of total probability, and is therefore connected to the notion of marginal extension of coherent lower previsions. In this paper, we investigate its formulation for some other imprecise probability models that are either more general (choice functions) or more particular (possibility measures, distortion models) than coherent lower previsions.